Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 5.234092e-05 0.000061 0.000070 0.000080 0.000092 0.000104 0.000118
2024-12-29 4.099838e-05 0.000052 0.000064 0.000079 0.000097 0.000116 0.000139
2025-01-05 3.342081e-05 0.000046 0.000060 0.000079 0.000101 0.000126 0.000157
2025-01-12 2.716700e-05 0.000040 0.000056 0.000077 0.000102 0.000133 0.000171
2025-01-19 2.180134e-05 0.000034 0.000051 0.000073 0.000102 0.000137 0.000182
2025-01-26 1.793924e-05 0.000030 0.000047 0.000071 0.000103 0.000142 0.000193
2025-02-02 1.602299e-05 0.000029 0.000047 0.000073 0.000108 0.000152 0.000211
2025-02-09 1.378491e-05 0.000026 0.000045 0.000072 0.000110 0.000159 0.000224
2025-02-16 1.304459e-05 0.000026 0.000046 0.000076 0.000118 0.000173 0.000247
2025-02-23 1.122451e-05 0.000024 0.000044 0.000075 0.000120 0.000178 0.000260
2025-03-02 9.179152e-06 0.000021 0.000041 0.000072 0.000118 0.000180 0.000266
2025-03-09 7.848262e-06 0.000019 0.000039 0.000071 0.000119 0.000184 0.000277
2025-03-16 6.435855e-06 0.000017 0.000037 0.000070 0.000120 0.000190 0.000291
2025-03-23 5.332717e-06 0.000016 0.000035 0.000069 0.000122 0.000197 0.000306
2025-03-30 4.414056e-06 0.000014 0.000034 0.000069 0.000124 0.000204 0.000322
2025-04-06 3.488817e-06 0.000013 0.000032 0.000067 0.000124 0.000208 0.000333
2025-04-13 2.617693e-06 0.000011 0.000029 0.000064 0.000122 0.000209 0.000340
2025-04-20 2.006936e-06 0.000010 0.000027 0.000062 0.000122 0.000212 0.000350
2025-04-27 1.757125e-06 0.000009 0.000027 0.000064 0.000127 0.000223 0.000371
2025-05-04 1.416284e-06 0.000008 0.000026 0.000063 0.000129 0.000230 0.000386
2025-05-11 1.349418e-06 0.000008 0.000027 0.000066 0.000137 0.000246 0.000415
2025-05-18 1.065092e-06 0.000008 0.000026 0.000066 0.000138 0.000251 0.000429
2025-05-25 7.509464e-07 0.000006 0.000024 0.000063 0.000136 0.000251 0.000435